June 23, 2022


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2022 North Carolina Senate race polls: Ted Budd leads the GOP field while Cheri Beasley finds no competition from her Democratic Party Primary election Rivals

North Carolina Senate Primary 2022 Date

The North Carolina Senate Race will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect the representative. The Primaries were due to be held on May 17th, but a ruling by the North Carolina Supreme Court has delayed them indefinitely over a challenge to the congressional maps passed by the GOP-held legislature earlier in 2021. The Current incumbent of North Carolina is Richard Burr, who will not seek another term in 2022.

The maps are being challenged by Democratic-aligned groups partisan and racial gerrymanders. In the last decade, North Carolina’s map was struck down 3 times so this is not without precedent.

Read: Best Pollsters Biden Approval Rating: Biden Improving a little but Risks remain

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: GOP Primary Polls

Donald Trump endorsed Ted Budd and is ahead in all the latest polls. Pat McCrory is a distant second.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race: GOP Google Search Data

Date

Ted Budd

Pat McCrory

Mark Walker

May 16th

62%

24%

13%

May 14th

61%

22%

16%

May 13th

63%

22%

14%

May 10th

71%

23%

16%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Social Media Sentiment

Date

Ted Budd

Pat McCrory

Mark Walker

May 16th

-12%

-12%

+8%

May 14th

-37%

-25%

+23%

May 13th

-37%

May 10th

-42.8%

+14.3%

Democratic Primary

Date(s)

Cheri
Beasley

Jeff
Jackson

Rett
Newton

Richard
Watkins

April 25–27

49%

April 6–10

37%

2%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: General Election

In 2016, this race was seen as competitive but Senator Richard Burr won by a larger than expected margin. While Trump won the state by under 4 points, Republican Burr won by 5.7.
Only one poll has been conducted in the general election. It was conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on November 10, 2021.

Tedd Budd leads Beasley 40%-39% while McCrory leads her 42-40%. Both races are too close to call but the higher number of decided voters in the head-to-head with McCrory could owe to his higher name recognition.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Google Search Data

Date

Ted Budd

McCrory

Cheri Beasley

May 16th

50%

19%

29%

May 14th

49%

18%

32%

May 13th

50%

18%

31%

May 10th

49%

16%

35%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Social Media Sentiment

Date

Ted Budd

McCrory

Cheri Beasley

May 16th

-12%

-12%

+18%

May 14th

-37%

-25%

-13%

May 13th

-37%

-10%

May 9th

-42.8%

+14.3%

+9.3%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest News

  1. 2022 Midterms: What to Watch as 5 States Hold Primaries
  2. Full range of midterms drama to play out Tuesday
  3. In N.C., a Black Senate candidate talks abortion. Her rival doesn’t.
  4. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022
  5. A voter guide to North Carolina’s Senate primaries
  6. Candidate for U.S. Senate (NC-D): Cheri Beasley
  7. Budd wraps up N.C. tour, says GOP rivals’ campaigns don’t resonate with voters in Senate primary
  8. Budd surges in final stretch of North Carolina Senate primary: poll

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest Videos

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest Tweets

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Candidates in the primaries

The Republican field is much more competitive than the Democratic side. Here are the candidates running in the primary.

Republican Candidates

  • Ted Budd, U.S. Representative for NC-13 (2017 – present)
  • Marjorie K. Eastman, Author, and veteran
  • Pat McCrory, former Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) and Mayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)
  • Mark Walker, Former US Representative for NC

Former Rep. Walker staying in North Carolina Senate race

Democratic Candidates

  • Cheri Beasley, former justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2012–2020; Chief Justice 2019–2020)
  • Everette Newton, mayor of Beaufort (2017-2021)

Supreme Court Justice Beasley is the outright favorite in the Democratic primary. She lost re-election to her seat in 2020 by a mere 300 votes. Her impressive performance, outrunning both Biden and the Democratic nominee in the senate election has given Democrats hope that she is a strong nominee and could win this seat. 2008 was the last time the party won a Senate election in the state.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Demographics of the Voting Age Population (VAP)

Demographic

Proportion

White-American

63.6%

Hispanic-American

8.9%

African-American

21.4%

Asian-American

3.7%

Native-American

2.8%

The data is from the 2020 census. It shows an increasingly diversifying state with a booming Hispanic population. As a deep-south state, it has a large African-American population, especially in the rural areas.

Democratic vote strength comes from minorities and urban areas especially the research triangle and the Charlotte metro area. Joe Biden won Mecklenburg county – home to 1.1m people – by 35 points, while Clinton only won it by 29. Republican strength is centered in the exurban county around Charlotte and Sandhill area.
Native Americans are a swing group in the state unlike Natives in other western states, who backed Biden is massive margins. Robeson county, which is 40% backed Trump by 18 after backing him by 4 in 2016.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Will Pat McCrory beat Trump backed Ted Budd?

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