Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Trump’s Fading Magic In Georgia A Worry For Walker?


June 24th: Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Georgia Senate Race is heading to a close finish. The Republican Herschel Walker maintains a marginal lead over the Democrat Raphael Warnock as per the average of the last three polls.

The latest Georgia Senate Poll has both Walker and Warnock tied at 47% vote share.

Google Trends: Google Trend data are highly one-sided with Herschel Walker having a higher search volume than Walker in Georgia.

Social Media Sentiments: Walker’s sentiments are not very pleasing while the Democrat Warnock has been able to maintain a positive net sentiment.

Verdict: Considering all the data points, as of now Herschel Walker has a better chance of winning the upcoming Georgia Senate Race.

When is the Georgia Senate Race Election?

The Georgia Senate Race 2022 will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect a member of the US Senate from Georgia.

Insights and Observation

As per the latest Findings by East Carolina University Survey, the majority of Black Voters are likely to vote for Democratic Party nominee Raphael Warnock. The finding has 83% to 7% lead for Warnock among the Black voters.

When it comes to White Voters, Walker leads Warnock 69% to 25% among white men and 61% to 33% among white women.

Among the ones, without a college degree, Walker is ahead but when it comes to the respondents with a 4-year college degree, Warnock has a 50% to 42% edge over Walker.

One of the most interesting findings of the survey was voting preference based on the age demographic. The survey found that the registered voters above 60 years are more inclined towards Herschel Walker. 61% of the registered voters above 60 years of age are likely to vote for Walker while 37% would prefer voting for Warnock.
Among the 40-60 years age barrier, Walkers holds a minor edge. The survey shows, that 48% of registered voters between 40-60 years would vote for Walker while Warnock has 46% support of this section of voters.
Talking about the voters below 40 years, their preference is Warnock over Walker. Warnock leads with registered voters under 40 years old by 51% to 32%.

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls Summary

Who is Leading?
Warnock vs Walker Polls Walker
Google Search Walker
Social Media Sentiment Warnock

Georgia Senate Polls 2022: Herschel Walker Polls

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Google Search Trends, General Election

June 24th
Warnock (D) 23%
Walker (R) 77%
June 20th
Warnock (D) 21%
Walker (R) 79%
2020 US Presidential Election
Biden 36%
Trump 64%

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Social Media Sentiment Tracker, General Election

June 23rd
Warnock (D) -7.5%
Walker (R) +3.3%
Date June 20th
Warnock (D) +2.9%
Walker (R) -9.5%

Warnock vs Walker Polls: Latest Videos and Ads

YouTube video

Georgia Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Tweets

Originally tweeted by Reverend Raphael Warnock (@ReverendWarnock) on June 24, 2022.

After urging my colleagues to take action, I’m glad to see this bipartisan gun safety package pass the Senate. We’ve got an obligation to protect our communities from gun violence.

Georgia Latest Election Results: How Trump Is Facing Defeat in Georgia?

Donald Trump has been one of the most popular Republicans and in the ongoing Primary election heading for the November 8th mid-term election, Trump has endorsed candidates in different states. In most of the states, his endorsed candidates have been able to secure wins but in Georgia Trump has failed as most of his endorsements have lost elections.

The very first setback for Trump in Georgia came when his endorsed candidate for the Georgia Governor race, David Purdue lost by a huge margin against the incumbent Governor Brian Kemp in the GOP Primary Race.

Trump faced more setbacks on June 21st in Georgia. Trump-endorsed pair of candidates lost US House Primary runoffs. In the 10th Congressional district, Kemp-backed businessman Mike Collins defeated Trump-backed former Democratic state Rep. Vernon Jones.

In the 6th Congressional District also, Trump-endorsed candidate Jake Evans lost to Rich McCormick.

The back-to-back defeat of Trump-endorsed candidates in Georgia shows his decreasing popularity but will it be a concern for Herschel Walker who has been endorsed by Donald Trump.

Georgia Senate Polls 2022: Major Republican Endorsements

Herschel Walker is the front-runner as a GOP candidate for the upcoming Georgia Senate election. He has been able to garner big endorsements. The latest endorsement for Herschel Walker’s candidature came from former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

Apart from Mike Pompeo, Walker is endorsed by:

  1. Former US President Donald Trump
  2. Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley.

Georgia Senate Race Polls Today: Does a Trump endorsement guarantee an outright victory?

Yes, it is undeniable that the Trump standard is a HUGE boost to his candidature and name recognition seeing the tremendous popularity Trump enjoys amongst the Republican base.

BUT it is no guarantee of victory, here are a few examples

  • Let’s take another example, in the North Carolina 11th Congressional District which was vacated by Mark Meadows to be Trump’s Chief of Staff. Trump endorsed Lynda Bennett, but she still ended up losing in the primaries to Madison Cawthorn, a mere 25-year-old Greenhorn!
  • There are candidates who have lost in the primary or general elections despite receiving the endorsement of Trump, The latest one being his nominee in the Texas Special Election to the US House of Representatives.

Georgia Senate Polls 2022: Demographics

As per the Census 2020

Demographic Proportion
White Americans 50.1%
Black Americans 30.6%
Asian Americans 4.5%
Hispanic Americans 10.5%
Others 4.4%

As per some estimates on voter registration, white voters are nearly 60% of the state’s registered voters and non-whites are 40%

Georgia Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest Poll puts Herschel Walker ahead of Raphael Warnock by 5 points

Track all the latest US Senate Races here updated everyday with news, polls and analysis





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